Author name: Usman Khan

Govt May Rationalize Car Sales Tax from 25% to 18% in New Auto Policy, to Boost Sector Affordability
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Govt May Rationalize Car Sales Tax from 25% to 18% in New Auto Policy, to Boost Sector Affordability

Karachi – Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU), Pakistan’s leading Toyota assembler, expressed optimism during its recent 1HFY26 analyst briefing that the government will rationalize the sales tax structure in the forthcoming Auto Industry Policy 2026-31, effective post-June 2026. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/lucky-investments-am2-rating-upgrade-signals-strong-growth-in-pakistans-asset-management-industry/ Management specifically anticipates that the current 25% sales tax slab applicable to certain vehicle categories will be lowered to around 18%, aiming to neutralize tax disparities across the sector, enhance consumer affordability, and support sustainable growth amid IMF-aligned reforms. This expectation comes against the backdrop of INDU’s robust half-year results, with revenue up 40% YoY to PKR 119.2 billion, driven by a 63% surge in sales volumes to 20,754 units. Gross margins improved to 15.2% from 13.8% YoY, benefiting from stable exchange rates and higher throughput. The company reiterated calls for a market-driven policy, including relaxation of auto financing restrictions (up to PKR 3 million), duty relief on exports, and controlled used-car imports to ensure fair competition. Management also flagged potential supply disruptions from Middle East tensions and sought clarity on the 25% electric/hybrid vehicle sales mandate. Analysts view this tax rationalization as a positive catalyst for the auto sector, potentially offsetting pressures from policy normalization and supporting volume recovery. INDU remains a favored pick, with brokerage houses highlighting its strong fundamentals and market leadership.

February Bloodbath at PSX: KSE-100 Tumbles 16,112 Points (8.7%), Ends Month at 168,062
Business

February Bloodbath at PSX: KSE-100 Tumbles 16,112 Points (8.7%), Ends Month at 168,062

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) experienced a turbulent February 2026, with the benchmark KSE-100 index posting a significant monthly decline of 8.7% MoM (Month-on-Month), shedding approximately 16,112 points to close the month at 168,062 points. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/saudi-backed-wafi-energy-delivers-rs3-54bn-profit-up-7-5-in-pakistan-eyes-aggressive-2026-growth/ This marked one of the steepest monthly drops in recent history, driven by persistent weak market sentiment amid geopolitical tensions (including border issues with Afghanistan), foreign investor selling pressure, disappointing corporate earnings expectations, and broader concerns over economic indicators. Key highlights from the period include: Sharp single-day plunges earlier in the month, with record or near-record falls (e.g., over 6,600 points on one day and 5,400+ on another), reflecting extreme volatility. Average daily trading volumes dropped sharply by 29% MoM to around 770 million shares, while traded value fell 37% in USD terms to USD 141 million. Net foreign institutional investor outflows were notable, particularly in commercial banks and other sectors, contributing to the downward pressure. Despite the monthly setback, the index showed some recovery in late February (e.g., a rebound of over 4,200 points on February 26/27 sessions), but overall sentiment remained cautious due to ongoing macroeconomic and external risks. Positive notes included gradual macroeconomic improvements (e.g., current account surplus in January, LSM growth, and remittance inflows), though these were overshadowed by immediate market concerns. This performance contrasts with the strong gains seen in prior periods (e.g., the index hit all-time highs near 191,000 in January 2026 before the correction).

Social Media is Playing Role in Fuelling Pakistan's Wedding Industry Growth
Pakistan

Social Media is Playing Role in Fuelling Pakistan’s Wedding Industry Growth

In recent years, social media has emerged as a powerful catalyst for the explosive growth of Pakistan’s multi-billion-rupee wedding industry, transforming traditional shaadis into highly visual, shareable spectacles designed for likes, shares, and viral fame. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/difc-pakistan-digital-authority-to-host-first-overseas-dubai-fintech-summit/ Platforms like Instagram, TikTok, and Reels now dictate trends, from elaborate bridal looks and viral décor ideas to choreographed dance sequences and drone light shows. Families increasingly prioritize “picture-perfect” events to impress online audiences, driving up spending even amid economic pressures. Wedding planners report that the average cost of events has skyrocketed, with some families shelling out upwards of Rs5 million (or far more for lavish affairs) to create content-worthy moments that garner social validation. “Weddings have shifted from private family celebrations to public performances,” notes a Karachi-based wedding planner. “Clients now ask for ‘Instagrammable’ setups—floral arches, LED backdrops, themed Mehndi nights, and TikTok-friendly entry sequences—because they want the event to go viral.” Viral trends amplified on these platforms include:Choreographed group dances inspired by TikTok hits.Pastel or minimalist bridal aesthetics with 3D florals, dramatic dupattas, and fusion silhouettes. Luxe décor elements like hanging installations, fairy lights, and themed color palettes that photograph beautifully. This digital influence has directly boosted vendors. Photographers and videographers specializing in cinematic reels and drone footage see surging demand, as couples seek high-quality content for posting. Decorators adapt quickly to trending looks shared by influencers, while planners use social media portfolios to attract clients. Digital marketing has become essential: vendors showcase work via targeted ads, reels, and hashtags, turning platforms into primary lead generators. The rise of wedding expos and fairs in urban hubs like Karachi, Lahore, and Islamabad further accelerates this growth. Events such as Shadiyana Wedding Bazaar (with editions in all three cities), Shaadi Expo Pakistan, and The Wedding Fair draw thousands of attendees annually. These expos feature 100+ stalls for venues, bridal couture, jewelers, decorators, and planners, allowing couples to discover trends in person while vendors network and secure bookings. In 2025, these fairs reported heightened attendance, fueled by social media buzz—many events promote heavily on Instagram and TikTok to build hype. Experts estimate Pakistan’s wedding sector contributes billions annually, with Karachi alone adding around Rs33 billion to the local economy in 2025 through allied services. Social media’s role is undeniable: it not only amplifies aspirational spending but also creates new opportunities for innovation in a traditionally lavish industry. However, this trend sparks debate. While it modernizes celebrations and boosts businesses, critics highlight how it fuels consumerism, social pressure, and even tax scrutiny—Pakistan’s Federal Board of Revenue now monitors lavish wedding posts on Instagram and TikTok for potential evasion. As platforms evolve, social media’s grip on Pakistani weddings shows no signs of loosening—turning every shaadi into both a cultural milestone and a digital statement.

PSX Plunges 17,000 Points Since its Peak in January as Geopolitical Fears Trigger 9% Correction
Business

PSX Plunges 17,000 Points Since its Peak in January as Geopolitical Fears Trigger 9% Correction

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) has experienced a significant correction in February 2026, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index shedding approximately 17,000 points (around -9%) from its all-time peak in January 2026. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/foreign-exchange-reserves-of-pakistan-steady-growth-amid-market-fluctuations/ The index hit a record high of 191,032.73 points in late January, amid a strong bull run earlier in the year, but has since declined sharply due to persistent selling pressure. As of February 19, 2026 (close), the KSE-100 settled at 172,170.29 points, reflecting a steep single-day drop of 6,683 points (-3.74%)—marking one of the largest point declines in PSX history. This was driven by heightened geopolitical risks, rising global oil prices, institutional redemptions, and increased risk aversion among investors. The slide has erased substantial market capitalization (e.g., over Rs700 billion in the latest major session) and impacted key sectors heavily. According to the JS Global research report (REP-084, dated February 20, 2026), the major laggard sectors contributing to the index’s decline since the January peak include: Fertilizer: -3,934 points (-23.2% contribution)Commercial Banks: -2,819 points (-16.6%)Oil & Gas Exploration Companies: -2,812 points (-16.5%)Cement: -2,092 points (-12.3%)Oil & Gas Marketing Companies: -998 points (-5.9%) The top laggard stocks dragging the index down were led by Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd (-2,826 points, -16.6% contribution), followed by Pakistan Petroleum Ltd, Oil & Gas Development Company Ltd, Engro Fertilizers Ltd, and others in energy, cement, and power sectors. Waqas Ghani Kukaswadia, Research Head at JS Global, commented: “The move was triggered by heightened geopolitical risks, which weakened sentiment and raised risk aversion. This was then exacerbated by higher redemptions triggering institutional selling. Now, drawdowns of this scale are uncomfortable but they are a part of market normalization after a strong rally. Focus should be less on the sell-off itself and more on whether earnings momentum and macro stability remain intact.” Despite the recent volatility—including multiple sharp daily drops in mid-to-late February—the index remains significantly higher year-over-year (around +50% in some comparisons), reflecting the broader positive momentum from 2025-early 2026 before this normalization phase.

PVC Prices Jump $50 to $740, Margin Hits Decade High on China Rebate Removal Anticipation
Pakistan

PVC Prices Jump $50 to $740, Margin Hits Decade High on China Rebate Removal Anticipation

PVC prices climbed USD 50 per ton week-on-week to USD 740 per ton as of February 16, 2026. This pushed the core PVC-Ethylene delta to USD 402 per ton, surpassing the 10-year median of USD 393 per ton by 13% on a weekly basis. The surge stems from elevated freight costs and strong buying interest. Market participants are positioning ahead of China’s planned removal of the export VAT rebate for PVC, effective April 1, 2026. The current 13% rebate has supported exports; its elimination is expected to raise effective costs for Chinese exporters and tighten global supply dynamics. Meanwhile, Ethylene prices rose modestly by USD 10 per ton to USD 690 per ton, tracking gains in crude oil and naphtha benchmarks. This contributed to the improved PVC-Ethylene margin of USD 45 week-on-week. Broader Polyester Chain Shows Mixed Trends In the polyester segment, PTA prices edged up USD 5 per ton to USD 690 per ton, while PX held steady at USD 905 per ton. The PTA-PX spread widened slightly to USD 93 per ton, up USD 5 week-on-week. PSF (polyester staple fiber) margins improved, with PSF-PTA-MEG delta reaching USD 267 per ton, a USD 13 gain. MEG prices fell USD 15 per ton to USD 445 per ton, reflecting softer demand pressures in downstream applications. Overall, the weekly trends chart illustrates PVC-Ethylene margins rebounding sharply in early 2026, recovering from lows in late 2025, while polyester indicators show gradual stabilization. These developments point to selective margin recovery in chlor-vinyl chains, supported by policy anticipation and feedstock alignment, though polyester remains under varied influences.

From Chips to High-Speed Rails: India's USD 133B Capex Push Signals Self-Reliance Drive
World

From Chips to High-Speed Rails: India’s USD 133B Capex Push Signals Self-Reliance Drive

The Indian Union Budget for 2026-27, unveiled on February 1 by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, arrived amid escalating global trade tensions, regional conflicts, and volatile financial markets. Aimed at sustaining economic growth and shielding businesses from external shocks, the document prioritized fiscal prudence over bold reforms. However, it fell short of investor expectations, triggering a sharp market downturn. What began as a green opening for the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 quickly soured as the speech unfolded, with heavy selling pressure culminating in the indices closing deep in the red. Market Reaction: A Six-Year Low The Sensex plummeted 1,500 points, or 1.88%, marking its worst Budget Day performance since 2020. The Nifty shed 495.2 points, reflecting widespread disappointment. Investors had hoped for measures to bolster capital markets and reassure foreign players, but the absence of such incentives—coupled with a surprise tax hike—sparked the rout. High-frequency traders and institutional funds led the exodus, amplifying the volatility in derivatives segments. Tax Hike Spotlight: STT Surge Hits Traders Hard At the heart of the backlash was the elevation of Securities Transaction Tax (STT) on futures and options trading. The rate on futures jumped 150% from 0.02% to 0.05% of the traded price, while options premiums rose from 0.1% to 0.15%, and exercise portions from 0.125% to 0.15%. Though incremental, these changes disproportionately burden day traders executing multiple transactions. Critics argue the move, intended to curb speculation, could dampen liquidity in India’s booming derivatives market, valued at trillions annually. Broader fiscal targets remained steady, with the deficit pegged at 4.4% of GDP, but the lack of pro-market sops overshadowed positives like a 9% hike in capital expenditure to USD 133 billion. The budget’s conservative stance underscores India’s strategy to navigate uncertainties, yet the immediate market verdict highlights a trust deficit. As global eyes watch, policymakers may need swift clarifications to stem further outflows.

Govt Repays Rs3.65 Trillion, But Total Public Debt Still Hovers Near Rs80 Trillion Mark
Pakistan

Govt Repays Rs3.65 Trillion, But Total Public Debt Still Hovers Near Rs80 Trillion Mark

Islamabad: In a significant step toward fiscal consolidation, the Government of Pakistan today completed the early retirement of PKR 300 billion in debt owed to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), pushing the cumulative early repayments of domestic debt to an unprecedented PKR 3,654 billion since late 2024. Advisor to the Finance Minister Khurram Schehzad announced the development on social media, describing it as the first time in the country’s history that such large-scale advance debt retirements have occurred. The latest tranche marks the continuation of a deliberate strategy to reduce reliance on central bank financing and improve the overall debt profile. The repayment journey began in December 2024 with PKR 1,000 billion retired ahead of schedule, followed by major tranches: PKR 500 billion in June 2025, PKR 1,160 billion in August 2025, PKR 200 billion in October 2025, PKR 494 billion in December 2025, and now PKR 300 billion in January 2026. In the current fiscal year alone (July 2025–January 2026), early retirements have exceeded PKR 2,150 billion—44% higher than the previous fiscal year’s efforts.According to Schehzad, these actions have slashed SBP-held debt by nearly 44%, bringing it down from approximately PKR 5,500 billion to around PKR 3,000 billion—well ahead of original maturities extending to 2029. Of the total early repayments, about 65% targeted SBP obligations, 30% involved Treasury Bills, and 5% Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs). The initiative has contributed to a healthier debt structure. Total public debt has edged lower from over PKR 80.5 trillion in June 2025 to roughly PKR 80 trillion by November 2025. The debt-to-GDP ratio has improved to around 70%, down from higher levels in earlier years (e.g., 74% in FY22), aligning with recent IMF estimates projecting stabilization in the mid-70s range for 2026. Beyond headline figures, officials emphasize tangible benefits: massive interest savings (over PKR 850 billion realized in FY25, with another PKR 800 billion+ anticipated in FY26), reduced rollover and refinancing risks, extended average domestic debt maturity (from 2.7 years in FY24 to over 4.0 years), and greater fiscal space for development spending and social programs. Schehzad highlighted that sustainable metrics—such as debt-to-GDP, repayment capacity, and interest burden—matter far more than per-capita debt comparisons, noting that advanced economies like Japan, the US, and Italy carry much higher per-person burdens without facing similar scrutiny. While challenges persist—including ongoing external debt management and power sector obligations—these early retirements signal a shift from chronic borrowing toward responsible repayment and credibility-building. The move coincides with broader positive signals, including strong global investor interest in recent roadshows and forecasts of stable inflation (around 5–7%) and modest GDP growth (3.5–4.4%) in coming years.This fiscal reset, government sources say, underscores Pakistan’s commitment to long-term economic resilience and disciplined governance.

OGDC, PPL, MARI, POL Get Billions of Rupees Tax Relief from Constitution Court
Uncategorized

OGDC, PPL, MARI, POL Get Billions of Rupees Tax Relief from Constitution Court

IslamabadIn a landmark decision with major implications for Pakistan’s fiscal landscape and energy sector, the Federal Constitutional Court (FCC) on January 27, 2026, upheld the constitutional validity of the super tax imposed under Section 4C of the Income Tax Ordinance. The ruling, delivered by Chief Justice Aminuddin Khan, dismissed the majority of petitions challenging the tax, securing an estimated Rs300-310 billion in revenue for the national exchequer. The super tax, originally introduced in 2015 and later expanded, applies additional levies on high-income entities, particularly those earning above specified thresholds. The FCC’s verdict confirmed its retrospective application for tax year 2022 and upheld rates up to 15% for certain sectors. The court also clarified exemptions for entities like Modarabas, mutual funds, and benevolent funds, while rejecting broad challenges to the tax’s legality. However, the decision delivered targeted relief to Pakistan’s Exploration and Production (E&P) companies in the oil and gas sector. The court ruled that super tax charges for these firms must align strictly with the limits set in their respective Petroleum Concession Agreements (PCAs) under the Fifth Schedule of the Income Tax Ordinance. It directed tax commissioners to re-evaluate each company’s liability on a case-by-case basis, ensuring no super tax is imposed beyond the ceilings stipulated in Rule 4 of the Fifth Schedule and applicable concession terms from 1948 onward. This carve-out is seen as a significant win for major listed E&P players, including Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDC), Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL), Mari Petroleum Company Limited (MARI), and Pakistan Oilfields Limited (POL). Brokerage firm Topline Securities, in a research note released shortly after the verdict, highlighted potential reversals of prior provisions totaling around Rs194 billion across listed companies. Analysts estimate per-share earnings boosts ranging from Rs22-28, with recurring annual earnings improvements of 6-14% depending on individual PCA headroom and final commissioner assessments. The ruling arrives amid ongoing fiscal pressures, including IMF recommendations to maximize super tax recoveries to bridge revenue shortfalls. The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has indicated expectations of Rs150-200 billion in collections in the current quarter alone, bolstering public finances without broad new impositions.Industry observers note that while the overall super tax framework remains intact—providing long-sought clarity after years of litigation—the E&P exemption safeguards contractual stability in Pakistan’s upstream energy sector. This could ease investor concerns over retrospective tax burdens, potentially supporting exploration activities and foreign investment inflows at a time when the government seeks to enhance domestic hydrocarbon production.The decision also partially set aside certain high court rulings on the matter, reinforcing parliamentary authority to enact such fiscal measures. Detailed judgment is awaited, but the short order has already triggered positive sentiment in energy stocks on the Pakistan Stock Exchange.The verdict balances revenue imperatives with sector-specific protections, marking a pragmatic resolution to prolonged tax disputes in one of Pakistan’s most strategic industries.

Pakistan's Motorcycle Industry: 1.89 Million Units Produced as Sector Defies Economic Odds
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Pakistan’s Motorcycle Industry: 1.89 Million Units Produced as Sector Defies Economic Odds

KARACHI: Pakistan’s motorcycle industry has reported a remarkable recovery in 2025, recording a historic 35% year-on-year increase in sales. This growth comes as a significant indicator of economic resilience, proving that demand for affordable mobility remains robust despite broader inflationary pressures. According to the latest data for the period of January to December 2025, the country produced a total of 1,898,767 motorcycles. The 70cc category remains the backbone of the market, accounting for over 1.09 million units sold, while the 125cc segment followed with 579,127 units. The growth was spread across various engine capacities, with 70cc bikes seeing a 56% jump and 125cc models growing by 32%. Mid-tier 100cc and 150cc categories also saw modest gains of 10% and 2% respectively, reflecting a diverse consumer preference for both economy and performance. Industry leaders showed exceptional performance; Unique led the pack with a staggering 90% growth, followed by United Motors at 51% and Hi-Speed at 60%. Market giant Honda also maintained strong momentum with a 32% increase in its sales volume. Industry expert Sabir Sheikh noted that this “speedy recovery” is a vital sign for the national economy. He highlighted that the surge will not only create more jobs but also stabilize the local supply chain and provide much-needed relief to the country’s vast network of dealers and parts manufacturers.

Auto Sector Profit Expected Jump 35% in Q2-FY26
Auto

Auto Sector Profit Expected Jump 35% in Q2-FY26

Pakistan’s automobile sector is experiencing a strong revival in fiscal year 2026 (FY26), with leading brokerage firm Topline Securities projecting robust profitability gains for major listed players in the second quarter (Q2 FY26, October–December 2025). According to Topline’s latest preview released on January 23, 2026, the “Topline auto universe”—primarily encompassing key assemblers like Indus Motor Company (INDU) (Toyota), Honda Atlas Cars (HCAR), and others—is expected to deliver 35% year-on-year (YoY) and 19% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) growth in profitability. This surge is primarily fueled by a sharp 45% YoY increase in sales volumes, reaching approximately 27,821 units during the quarter, alongside a 36% QoQ rise.The momentum builds on a broader sector recovery. In the first half of FY26 (July–December 2025), total sales of cars, light commercial vehicles (LCVs), pickups, and vans climbed 46% YoY to 88,322 units, up from 60,676 units in the same period last year. This rebound follows several years of contraction triggered by high interest rates, currency volatility, and import restrictions.December 2025 showed solid demand despite a typical year-end slowdown, with passenger car sales rising 35% YoY to around 13,300 units, though down 14% month-on-month due to registration delays and buyers deferring purchases into the new calendar year. Two-wheeler sales remained particularly strong, supported by dominant players like Atlas Honda.Key performers in Q2 FY26 are anticipated to include:Indus Motor Company (INDU), assembler of Toyota vehicles, which is projected to post around 32% YoY earnings growth. Strong recovery in models like Corolla, Yaris, and Cross—along with SUVs like Fortuner and Revo—has driven volumes higher, benefiting from improved gross margins and new model introductions. Honda Atlas Cars (HCAR), showing even sharper momentum with expected 34% YoY (or higher in some estimates) earnings per share improvement. Honda’s sedans (Civic and City) and SUVs (BR-V, HR-V) have seen significant uptake, reinforcing its position in the premium segment. The sector’s turnaround is underpinned by several favorable macro factors: easing interest rates, which have revived auto financing; relative PKR stability; declining inflation; and improved consumer confidence. New model launches, including hybrids and more affordable variants, have also played a role in stimulating demand.However, challenges persist. December’s MoM dip highlights seasonal patterns, while rising SUV imports—particularly from Chinese brands like Changan, Haval, and emerging players—signal growing competition and potential risks from import dependency in 2026. Analysts note that while Japanese brands (Toyota, Honda, Suzuki) still dominate, Chinese assemblers are gaining share through competitive pricing, better features, and localization efforts.Topline’s outlook aligns with industry-wide optimism, as the sector contributes meaningfully to large-scale manufacturing (LSM) growth and reflects broader economic stabilization. With policy continuity and sustained low borrowing costs, the auto industry could extend its recovery trajectory, though vigilance on external account pressures and import dynamics remains essential.

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