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Gold Price in Pakistan Falls Rs4,300 Per Tola as Global Bullion Weakens
Pakistan

Gold Price in Pakistan Falls Rs4,300 Per Tola as Global Bullion Weakens

The gold price in Pakistan recorded a significant decline on Tuesday, with the price of 24-karat gold falling by Rs4,300 per tola in line with weakness in global bullion markets. According to rates issued by the All Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA), 24-karat gold is now being sold at Rs427,436 per tola, compared with Rs431,736 per tola a day earlier. The decline follows softer global gold prices as a stronger US dollar reduced demand for the precious metal, while investors awaited the outcome of the US Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy meeting. Gold Prices in Domestic Market The latest price revision also lowered the value of gold on a 10-gram basis. The new domestic gold rates are: The fall reflects changes in international bullion prices and fluctuations in the rupee-dollar exchange rate, both of which influence Pakistan’s local gold market. Silver Prices Also Decline Silver prices also moved lower in the domestic market. According to APGJSA, 24-karat silver is now trading at: The decline in silver prices mirrors the broader weakness seen across precious metals in international markets. Gold and Silver Price ComparisonPrecious Metal July 28, 2026 July 27, 2026 Daily ChangeGold (24K per tola) Rs427,436 Rs431,736 -Rs4,300Silver (24K per tola) Rs6,223 Rs6,397 -Rs174 Despite Tuesday’s decline, gold remains Rs2,600 higher than the beginning of the current fiscal year, although it is Rs29,526 lower compared with the start of the calendar year. International Gold Market In global markets, spot gold traded near $4,051 per ounce, declining by approximately $21, or 0.52 per cent, from the previous trading session. Market analysts attributed the decline to a stronger US dollar, which reduced the appeal of gold for investors holding other currencies. Traders are also closely monitoring the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy announcement, as expectations regarding interest rates often influence demand for non-yielding assets such as gold. Higher interest rates generally strengthen the US dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, while lower rates tend to support bullion prices. Market Outlook Analysts expect gold prices to remain volatile in the coming days as investors assess signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy. In Pakistan, local gold prices will continue to be influenced by movements in international bullion markets, changes in the rupee-dollar exchange rate and domestic demand from jewellers and investors.

SBP Foreign Exchange Reserves Rise To $17.26bn Despite Dip In Pakistan's Total Reserves
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SBP Foreign Exchange Reserves Rise To $17.26bn Despite Dip In Pakistan’s Total Reserves

SBP Foreign Exchange Reserves Increase While Overall Reserves Edge Lower Pakistan’s SBP Foreign Exchange Reserves posted a modest increase during the week ended July 17, offering some support to the country’s external sector despite a slight decline in overall liquid foreign exchange reserves. According to the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), its foreign exchange holdings rose by $33 million to $17.26 billion, while reserves held by commercial banks declined, resulting in a small drop in Pakistan’s total reserves. The latest figures show that the SBP’s foreign exchange reserves increased to $17.2586 billion. However, Pakistan’s total liquid foreign exchange reserves slipped by $5.9 million to $22.6696 billion, mainly due to lower foreign currency holdings maintained by commercial banks. Analysts said the data indicates that the central bank continues to maintain a stable reserve position, although the decline in commercial bank reserves outweighed the improvement recorded by the SBP. Commercial Banks’ Foreign Exchange Reserves Decline According to data compiled by brokerage firm Arif Habib Limited, commercial banks’ net foreign exchange reserves fell by $38.7 million during the reporting week, bringing their total holdings down to approximately $5.411 billion. The reduction in commercial bank reserves offset the increase in the SBP’s holdings, leading to the slight decline in Pakistan’s total liquid foreign exchange reserves. Based on the latest figures, Pakistan’s reserves are sufficient to cover around 2.54 months of imports, remaining below the level generally considered comfortable for long-term external stability. The SBP’s breakdown shows that, as of July 17, the central bank held nearly $17.3 billion, while commercial banks accounted for roughly $5.4 billion, taking the country’s total foreign exchange reserves to $22.7 billion. Bangladesh’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Cross $36 Billion The latest regional data also highlighted an improvement in Bangladesh’s external position. According to Bangladesh Bank, the country’s gross foreign exchange reserves increased to $36.10 billion after receiving a $320 million disbursement from a bilateral development partner. The increase marks Bangladesh’s highest reserve level since October 2022 and reflects continued efforts by South Asian economies to strengthen their external buffers amid ongoing global economic uncertainty. Pakistani Rupee Remains Stable Against the US Dollar Meanwhile, the Pakistani rupee remained largely stable in the interbank market. The local currency closed at Rs277.90 per US dollar, improving marginally by one paisa from the previous day’s closing level of Rs277.91. Currency markets remained relatively calm despite renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Globally, the US Dollar Index eased 0.06% to 101.05, as investors continued to monitor geopolitical developments and expectations surrounding US monetary policy. Gold Prices Decline After Recent Rally Gold prices in Pakistan fell sharply after international bullion markets witnessed a correction. According to the All Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association, the price of gold per tola declined by Rs1,800 to Rs432,036, while the price of 10 grams fell by Rs1,543 to Rs370,401. Silver prices also weakened, with the price per tola dropping Rs33 to Rs6,370. The decline followed a sharp increase in domestic gold prices a day earlier, highlighting continued volatility in global precious metals markets. Rising Oil Prices Weigh on Gold Markets Internationally, spot gold declined by around 2% to approximately $4,047.26 per ounce, while US gold futures for August delivery dropped 2.5% to nearly $4,050 per ounce. Market participants attributed the weakness to rising crude oil prices and expectations that persistent inflation could encourage the US Federal Reserve to maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil climbed to around $100 per barrel amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and concerns over disruptions to global energy supplies following attacks on Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea. Higher oil prices have renewed fears of sustained inflation, prompting investors to reassess expectations for future US interest rate decisions. Analysts Say Oil Prices Remain the Key Risk Interactive Commodities Director Adnan Agar said higher crude oil prices were the primary factor behind the recent decline in gold prices. He noted that international gold briefly touched $4,042 per ounce before recovering slightly to around $4,050, after reaching a recent high near $4,150. According to Agar, if geopolitical tensions continue pushing oil prices higher, gold prices may remain under pressure. He also warned that instability in the Middle East, including developments involving Yemen, could further disrupt global energy markets. Economists believe sustained increases in crude oil prices could raise Pakistan’s import bill, fuel domestic inflation, and place additional pressure on the country’s external account. While SBP Foreign Exchange Reserves recorded a modest weekly increase, analysts expect Pakistan’s external sector to remain closely tied to movements in global oil prices, geopolitical developments, capital flows, and future monetary policy decisions by major central banks.

Gold Prices Fall as Fed Rate Hike Fears Spark Biggest Quarterly Crash in 13 Years
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Gold Prices Fall as Fed Rate Hike Fears Spark Biggest Quarterly Crash in 13 Years

Gold prices fell sharply on Wednesday as investors shifted toward the U.S. dollar amid growing expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates before the end of the year. The precious metal, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset, has posted its weakest quarterly performance in more than a decade as persistent inflation concerns and tighter monetary policy continue to weigh on global markets. During Asian trading, bullion extended its recent losses, hovering near an eight-month low. Investors are now awaiting a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, whose comments could significantly influence interest rate expectations and broader market sentiment. Gold Prices Fall as Investors Shift to the U.S. Dollar Spot gold declined 0.7% to $3,978.40 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures slipped 1.2% to $3,991.45 per ounce during Asian trading. The decline reflects a growing preference among investors for dollar-denominated assets as expectations of higher U.S. interest rates strengthen. Since gold does not generate interest income, it becomes less attractive when yields on competing assets rise. Institutional investors have increasingly rotated funds out of precious metals and into fixed-income securities and the U.S. dollar, intensifying selling pressure on bullion. Gold Suffers Worst Quarterly Decline Since 2013 Gold prices dropped nearly 14% during the June quarter, marking the metal’s worst quarterly performance since 2013. Although geopolitical tensions in the Middle East initially boosted demand for safe-haven assets earlier this year, those gains quickly faded as inflation concerns resurfaced. Investors now believe the Federal Reserve may need to maintain tighter monetary policy for longer than previously anticipated. Rising Technology Costs Add to Inflation Concerns Another factor fueling inflation fears is the continued rise in semiconductor prices, driven by booming demand for artificial intelligence technologies. Higher chip costs have increased production expenses across the technology industry. Concerns intensified after Apple raised prices on several of its products in June, reinforcing expectations that businesses are passing higher costs on to consumers. Persistent inflation reduces the likelihood of interest rate cuts and increases the probability of further monetary tightening, putting additional pressure on gold. Federal Reserve Signals Potential Interest Rate Increase Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting indicated that several policymakers now support at least one additional interest rate increase before year-end. This represents a notable shift from earlier market expectations, which had anticipated rate cuts during 2026. Higher interest rates generally strengthen the U.S. dollar while reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold, making bullion less attractive to investors. Kevin Warsh Speech in Focus Market participants are closely watching Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, who is scheduled to speak at the European Central Bank Forum in Portugal. Although analysts do not expect an immediate policy announcement, investors will carefully scrutinize his remarks for clues regarding inflation, economic growth, and future interest rate decisions. His comments could significantly influence global financial markets and determine the short-term direction of gold prices. U.S. Jobs Report Could Be the Next Major Catalyst Attention will quickly turn to the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, one of the Federal Reserve’s most closely watched economic indicators. A stronger-than-expected employment report would likely reinforce expectations for another interest rate hike, potentially extending gold’s decline. Conversely, weaker labor market data could ease tightening expectations and provide temporary support for bullion prices. Silver and Platinum Extend Their Declines The weakness was not limited to gold. The broad selloff highlights the impact of rising interest rate expectations across the entire precious metals market. Outlook for Gold Prices Gold remains under pressure as investors weigh persistent inflation against increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve policy. Unless inflation begins to ease or the Fed signals a more accommodative stance, analysts expect gold prices to remain volatile. The upcoming speech by Kevin Warsh and the latest U.S. employment data are likely to be key drivers of market sentiment in the near term, potentially determining whether bullion stabilizes or extends its recent losses.

Gold Prices Fall Below $4,000 as Strong Dollar and Fed Rate Hike Expectations Weigh on Market
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Gold Prices Fall Below $4,000 as Strong Dollar and Fed Rate Hike Expectations Weigh on Market

Gold prices extended their decline on Thursday, remaining near a more than seven-month low as investors reacted to a stronger US dollar and growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates further this year. The precious metal continued to face selling pressure after falling below the key $4,000-per-ounce level during the previous session, a threshold it had not breached since November 2025. Gold Remains Near Seven-Month Low Spot gold fell 0.4% to $3,985.89 per ounce in early trading, after touching its lowest level in more than seven months on Wednesday. Meanwhile, US gold futures for August delivery slipped 0.2% to $4,001.60 per ounce, reflecting continued caution among investors ahead of key US economic data. The latest decline highlights growing concerns that tighter monetary policy in the United States could reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold. Strong Dollar Pressures Bullion Market A major factor behind the recent weakness in gold prices has been the strength of the US dollar. The dollar climbed for a third consecutive day on Wednesday, reaching its highest level in 13 months. A stronger greenback makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, often reducing international demand for the precious metal. As a result, investors shifted toward the dollar, placing additional downward pressure on bullion prices. Traders Increase Bets on Fed Rate Hikes Market expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy have also weighed heavily on gold. According to market pricing tracked by the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now expect as many as three Federal Reserve interest rate increases this year. Investors are also assigning roughly a 67% probability to a rate hike in September. Higher interest rates typically reduce the attractiveness of gold because the metal does not offer interest or dividend income. As yields on other assets rise, investors often move funds away from bullion and into interest-bearing investments. Investors Await Key Inflation Data Market participants are closely watching upcoming US inflation figures for additional clues about the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, is scheduled for release later in the day. Economists and investors expect the report to play a crucial role in shaping expectations for future interest rate decisions. Any signs of persistent inflation could strengthen the case for additional rate hikes and potentially place further pressure on gold prices. US Treasury Secretary Comments on Fed Policy US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also weighed in on monetary policy discussions on Wednesday. He welcomed Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s proposal to reduce the central bank’s use of forward guidance on interest rates. However, Bessent emphasized that policymakers should remain open-minded regarding the potential inflationary effects of the ongoing conflict involving Iran. His remarks added to market speculation over how geopolitical developments could influence inflation and future monetary policy decisions. Middle East Developments Remain in Focus Investors are also monitoring geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Officials from Lebanon and Israel confirmed discussions regarding a US-backed proposal under which Israeli forces would transfer some territory occupied during the conflict with Hezbollah to the Lebanese military. The proposal is being viewed as a potential step toward restoring Lebanese control over disputed areas and easing regional tensions. While geopolitical uncertainty often supports gold prices due to its safe-haven status, current market sentiment remains dominated by monetary policy expectations and currency movements. Other Precious Metals Show Mixed Performance The broader precious metals market showed mixed results during Thursday’s trading session. Spot silver declined 0.2% to $57.33 per ounce, while platinum lost 0.2% to $1,575.85 per ounce. In contrast, palladium recorded modest gains, rising 0.3% to $1,170.25 per ounce. Market Outlook Gold prices remain under pressure as investors assess the outlook for US interest rates and await fresh inflation data. The combination of a stronger dollar, rising Treasury yields, and expectations of additional Federal Reserve tightening has weakened demand for bullion in recent sessions. Analysts believe upcoming economic indicators, particularly inflation data, will likely determine whether gold can stabilize above current levels or face further declines in the weeks ahead.

KSE-100 Drops 2,475 Points as US-Iran Talks Collapse, Erasing Early Gains
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KSE-100 Drops 2,475 Points as US-Iran Talks Collapse, Erasing Early Gains

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) suffered a sharp reversal on Friday as the KSE-100 Index recorded a decline of 2,475 points after news broke that planned US-Iran talks in Switzerland would not take place. The benchmark index, which had opened on a bullish note, surrendered all early gains as aggressive selling gripped the market through most of the session. Strong Open Followed by Steep Selloff The KSE-100 Index opened in positive territory and climbed to an intraday high of 182,185.87 points in early trade, buoyed by optimism that had carried over from Thursday’s session. However, the positive momentum proved short-lived as selling pressure emerged before noon and intensified sharply. The index plunged to an intraday low of 177,836.16 points, a swing of more than 4,300 points between the day’s high and low. A partial recovery followed in the second half of the session, but renewed selling in the final hour trimmed those gains. The benchmark index eventually settled at 178,922.75 points — down 2,475.46 points, or 1.36%, at close. US-Iran Talks Collapse Triggers Selloff The trigger for the KSE-100 decline was geopolitical. US Vice President JD Vance pulled out of a planned trip to Switzerland to meet Iranian negotiators, abandoning what was expected to be the start of complex talks on implementing the 14-point agreement struck between Washington and Tehran to end their war. A White House spokesperson confirmed the cancellation. US officials had earlier indicated a formal signing ceremony for the US-Iran agreement would be held in Geneva, but Iran’s foreign ministry cast doubt on that, saying it was unnecessary after both countries’ presidents signed the agreement on Wednesday. The uncertainty around next steps rattled investor sentiment and triggered the broad-based KSE-100 decline seen on Friday. Thursday’s Rally Now Fully Reversed Friday’s loss wiped out gains accumulated over the prior session. On Thursday, the PSX extended its bullish momentum as declining international crude oil prices and growing optimism surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement strengthened investor confidence, triggering broad-based buying across key sectors. The KSE-100 had gained 887.20 points, or 0.49%, to close at 181,398.22 points that day. Friday’s KSE-100 decline of 2,475 points erased those gains entirely and pushed the index well below Thursday’s close, leaving sentiment fragile heading into the weekend. Global Markets Tell a Different Story While the PSX struggled, international equity markets largely celebrated the geopolitical developments of the week. Shares climbed to record highs in Japan and South Korea as peace in the Middle East, combined with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, pulled oil prices sharply lower and eased inflation fears globally.Japan’s Nikkei gained 0.8% to hit a new record for the fifth consecutive session, extending its weekly gain to 8.5%. South Korea’s market surged 3.1%, adding to a weekly rise of 15.3%. Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan markets were closed for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday. Oil tankers resumed passage through the Strait of Hormuz after the United States lifted its blockade on Iran on Thursday as an interim deal took effect. Brent crude futures fell 1% on Friday to $79.03 a barrel, and posted a weekly decline of 9.5%. Dollar Surges on Hawkish Fed Signals The US dollar hovered near a 13-month high against major peers after a hawkish pivot from the Federal Reserve led markets to price in more than one rate hike this year. The move dragged the Japanese yen to its weakest level in two years and intensified speculation that Japanese authorities may need to intervene to arrest the currency’s slide. The dollar’s strength added another layer of complexity for emerging market investors, including those active on the PSX, as a stronger greenback typically weighs on capital flows into developing economies.

Oil Prices Climb for Third Day as Gulf Tensions Escalate and Dollar Nears Key Yen Milestone
Pakistan

Oil Prices Climb for Third Day as Gulf Tensions Escalate and Dollar Nears Key Yen Milestone

Oil prices climbed for a third straight session on Wednesday as renewed hostilities in the Gulf heightened concerns over global energy supplies. US crude futures rose nearly 2 percent to reach $95.40 per barrel after peace talks between the United States and Iran stalled, raising fears of further disruptions in one of the world’s most important oil-producing regions. The latest increase reflects growing market anxiety over the security of oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime route for global energy trade. US-Iran Conflict Raises Supply Concerns Market sentiment turned cautious after fresh military exchanges between Washington and Tehran. According to the US Central Command, Iran launched missiles toward Kuwait and Bahrain. The attacks were reportedly intercepted or failed to reach their targets. In response, US forces struck Iran’s Qeshm Island, located near the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards claimed responsibility for attacks targeting the headquarters of the US Fifth Fleet. The escalation came only days after both countries signaled progress toward a potential agreement aimed at ending hostilities. However, the absence of a formal deal has revived concerns that tensions could continue to threaten regional stability and global energy supplies. Strait of Hormuz Remains Under Pressure Analysts say the Strait of Hormuz remains a major source of concern for oil markets. ANZ Bank Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Hynes noted that efforts to fully reopen the waterway face significant challenges. He said Iran has reportedly mined large areas of the strategic passage, making commercial shipping operations difficult. Although some vessels have resumed transit, shipping volumes remain significantly below pre-conflict levels. The Strait of Hormuz handles a substantial portion of the world’s crude oil exports, making any disruption a key driver of oil prices. US Oil Inventories Continue to Fall Adding further support to oil prices, US crude stockpiles declined for a seventh consecutive week. Market sources citing data from the American Petroleum Institute reported that crude inventories fell by 6.8 million barrels during the week ending May 29. The sustained decline in stockpiles suggests strong demand and tighter supply conditions in the world’s largest economy. Investors are now awaiting official inventory figures from the US government for additional market direction. Dollar Approaches 160 Yen Level Currency markets also reacted to the evolving geopolitical situation. The US dollar briefly touched the 160-yen level before retreating slightly as traders became cautious about potential intervention by Japanese authorities. The dollar later traded near 159.86 yen. The 160-yen mark remains a closely watched level because previous moves beyond it have prompted action from Japanese policymakers seeking to stabilize their currency. The euro remained relatively stable at $1.1627. AI Boom Continues to Support Global Stocks Despite rising geopolitical risks, artificial intelligence-related stocks continued to drive gains in equity markets. Stock indexes in Japan and Taiwan reached record highs as investors maintained confidence in AI-driven growth opportunities. Wall Street also recorded modest gains overnight, supported by strong performance in the technology sector. Shares of chipmaker Marvell Technology surged 32.5 percent to a record high after Nvidia Chief Executive Jensen Huang described the company as a potential trillion-dollar business during the Computex technology conference in Taipei. The AI sector has largely remained resilient despite growing uncertainty in global markets. Bitcoin Falls to Two-Month Low Cryptocurrency markets moved sharply lower as investors reduced exposure to riskier assets. Bitcoin dropped nearly 10 percent over three trading sessions and fell to a two-month low of $66,123. Analysts said geopolitical uncertainty and changing interest rate expectations contributed to the decline. The broader cryptocurrency market also experienced significant losses as traders shifted toward safer investments. Investors Reassess Interest Rate Outlook Fresh US economic data added another layer of complexity to financial markets. Job openings in the United States recorded their largest increase in five years during April, signaling continued strength in the labor market. The data reduced expectations that the US Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in the near future. Instead, markets have started pricing in the possibility of rate increases later this year. Analysts believe stronger-than-expected employment data could further support the US dollar and reinforce expectations of tighter monetary policy. Markets Brace for More Volatility Investors are now closely watching upcoming US economic reports, including services sector data and employment figures due later this week. At the same time, developments in the Gulf remain a major source of uncertainty. With oil supplies under pressure, geopolitical tensions rising, and central banks reassessing interest rate paths, financial markets could face continued volatility in the days ahead. The combination of higher oil prices, military tensions, and shifting monetary policy expectations is likely to keep investors on edge as global markets navigate an increasingly uncertain environment.

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