Author name: Usman Khan

Pakistan Crosses $400M Monthly IT Exports Barrier in Dec 2025 – Up 26% YoY
Business

Pakistan Crosses $400M Monthly IT Exports Barrier in Dec 2025 – Up 26% YoY

Pakistan’s IT sector has achieved a remarkable milestone by recording its highest-ever monthly exports of US$437 million in December 2025, according to the latest data released by the State Bank of Pakistan and analyzed by Topline Securities. This figure represents an impressive 26% year-on-year increase and a strong 23% month-on-month surge compared to November, marking the first time monthly IT exports have crossed the $400 million threshold and significantly surpassing the previous 12-month average of $341 million. The robust performance in December has helped push first-half FY26 IT exports to approximately US$2.2 billion, reflecting around 20% growth over the same period last year. Several factors have contributed to this acceleration, including the continued expansion of the client base particularly in the GCC region, the State Bank’s relaxation of foreign currency retention limits to 50%, the introduction of the Equity Investment Abroad facility allowing exporters to invest up to 50% of proceeds overseas, and the relative stability of the Pakistani rupee which has encouraged more timely and higher repatriation of profits. Net IT exports (after adjusting for imports) also showed exceptional strength, reaching US$377 million in December — a remarkable 70% year-on-year and 22% month-on-month increase — well above the recent 12-month average. Analysts at Topline Securities remain optimistic about the sector’s trajectory, projecting 18–20% growth for the full FY26, which could bring total IT exports close to the government’s ambitious US$5 billion target. Looking further ahead, the ‘Uraan Pakistan’ economic vision has set an even more aspirational goal of US$10 billion in IT exports by FY29. Within the listed IT space, Systems Limited (SYS) continues to stand out as a preferred investment pick, currently trading at attractive forward valuations of approximately 20.9x for 2025E and 13.7x for 2026E, making it one of the more compelling opportunities in Pakistan’s fast-growing technology sector.

Pakistan Records $135m Foreign Investment Outflow in Dec'25 Amid 43% Half-Year Decline
Business

Pakistan Records $135m Foreign Investment Outflow in Dec’25 Amid 43% Half-Year Decline

Pakistan’s foreign direct investment (FDI) landscape showed mixed signals in the second half of 2025, with a notable net outflow recorded in December, according to data highlighted by leading brokerage firm Arif Habib Limited.In December 2025, the country experienced a net FDI outflow of USD 135 million, reversing the inflow trend seen in previous periods. This development comes amid ongoing economic stabilization efforts and global investor caution.Despite the monthly dip, certain countries remained key contributors to positive FDI flows. China, Hong Kong, and the UAE collectively accounted for 86% of the net inflows during the month, underscoring their continued strategic interest in Pakistan’s market despite broader challenges. For the first half of fiscal year 2026 (July–December 2025), net FDI inflows declined sharply by 43% year-on-year, dropping to USD 808 million from USD 1,425 million in the corresponding period of FY25. The contraction reflects a combination of factors, including domestic policy uncertainties, global economic headwinds, and delays in major project executions.Analysts view the December outflow as a temporary setback rather than a structural shift, given Pakistan’s improving macroeconomic indicators. The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) has demonstrated resilience, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index hovering around 187,000 points as of mid-January 2026, supported by strong institutional buying, expectations of monetary easing, and progress in fiscal reforms. The market’s robust performance in early 2026—marked by multi-thousand-point rallies—signals investor optimism in long-term recovery. Experts emphasize the need to accelerate reforms in ease of doing business, energy sector stability, and privatization initiatives to reverse the FDI downturn. Sustained inflows from friendly nations like China (via CPEC projects) and Gulf partners could provide a buffer, while addressing structural bottlenecks remains crucial for attracting diversified foreign capital. The State Bank of Pakistan and economic policymakers are closely monitoring these trends, with hopes that improved external accounts and policy predictability will restore positive momentum in coming quarters.

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