Islamabad, December 3, 2025 – Pakistan’s cement industry experienced a significant downturn in November 2025, with total dispatches falling 13% month-on-month (MoM) to 4.14 million tons, according to the latest sector update from Taurus Securities Limited. The decline was driven by a sharp drop in both domestic and export sales, highlighting ongoing pressures from rising costs, border closures, and international trade barriers.Domestic sales, which form the bulk of the industry’s output, decreased by 10% MoM to 3.55 million tons. Industry experts attribute this to subdued construction demand, exacerbated by higher material costs, duties, and taxes. Cement manufacturers have urged the government to introduce industry-friendly policies, including concessions on duties, to make cement more affordable and stimulate local construction activities.Exports fared even worse, plummeting 29% MoM to 0.59 million tons. The northern region, heavily reliant on trade with Afghanistan, saw exports virtually halt due to an indefinite border closure amid regional tensions. Southern exporters, meanwhile, faced headwinds from newly imposed U.S. tariffs on imports from several countries, including Pakistan. Manufacturers in the north are exploring alternative markets like Sri Lanka and Bangladesh via sea routes, but the outlook for FY26 remains subdued, with exports expected to stay under pressure. Read More:https://theboardroompk.com/cement-exports-increase-28-58-to-134-516-million-in-4-months/ On a year-on-year (YoY) basis, total dispatches dipped 3%, though domestic sales edged up 2% to 3.55 million tons, supported by improving macroeconomic indicators and increased construction in the north. Exports, however, tumbled 27% YoY, underscoring the impact of geopolitical issues and trade restrictions.Breaking it down regionally: North Region: Domestic dispatches fell 11% MoM to 3.02 million tons but rose 6% YoY, reflecting a revival in construction tied to positive FY26 budget measures. Exports were negligible, down from 0.15 million tons in October.South Region: Local sales dropped 3% MoM and 16% YoY to 0.53 million tons, amid weaker construction activity. Exports declined 13% MoM and 7% YoY to 0.59 million tons. For the first five months of FY26 (5MFY26), the picture is more optimistic on the domestic front. Total local dispatches surged 15% YoY to 17.44 million tons, fueled by lower inflation, interest rates, and stable material prices. North-based domestic sales grew 16% YoY, while the south saw a 9% increase. Exports remained flat YoY at 4.01 million tons, with northern declines offset by slight southern gains.Cement prices showed mixed trends. Average retail prices in the north stood at approximately PKR 1,374 per bag as of November 27, down 5% YoY. In the south, prices rose 4% YoY to PKR 1,440 per bag. International coal prices, a key input cost, provided some relief, falling 24% YoY to USD 85.10 per ton (around PKR 35,000 per ton in local currency terms).Looking ahead, analysts at Taurus Securities anticipate a rebound in domestic demand, driven by flood rehabilitation efforts expected to ramp up after Ramadan (March-April 2026). The FY26 budget includes PKR 10 billion in mark-up and housing subsidies to promote affordable housing, alongside tax credits on loans for homes up to 250 square yards or flats under 2,000 square feet. These measures, combined with broader economic stability, are poised to boost construction.However, exports face ongoing challenges from the Afghan border closure and U.S. tariffs, potentially limiting growth in FY26. Taurus highlights Lucky Cement (LUCK), Maple Leaf Cement Factory (MLCF), and Fauji Cement Company Limited (FCCL) as top investment picks in the sector. The report, sourced from the All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association (APCMA) and other data, underscores the industry’s resilience amid volatility. Industry stakeholders continue to call for policy support to navigate these hurdles and capitalize on domestic recovery opportunities.