Pakistan

Pakistan Rice Festival 2026 Held in the Netherlands; Over 100 European Business and Food Industry Leaders Participate
Pakistan

Pakistan Rice Festival 2026 Attracts Over 100 European Industry Leaders In Netherlands

The Hague/Islamabad, June 24, 2026: Federal Minister for Commerce Jam Kamal Khan has appreciated the successful holding of Pakistan Rice Festival 2026 in the Netherlands, stating that such international trade events play an important role in promoting Pakistani exports, expanding access to new markets, and projecting a positive image of Pakistan globally. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/ogdc-poised-for-strong-recovery-with-baragzai-boost-and-sector-reforms/ The Minister commended the efforts of Pakistan’s Ambassador to the Netherlands, Syed Haider Shah, Trade and Investment Counsellor Muhammad Shafiq Haider Virk, and the Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP). He said that Pakistani basmati rice has become an important symbol of Pakistan around the world, and its growing international demand is encouraging for the country’s agriculture sector and exporters. Jam Kamal Khan termed the participation of more than 100 importers, retailers, food industry experts, renowned chefs, diplomatic representatives, and business leaders from across Europe as a reflection of growing international confidence in Pakistan. He said that the Government of Pakistan remains committed to increasing agricultural and food exports, promoting investment, and further strengthening global trade linkages. The event was held under the theme, “From Pakistan’s Fields to Europe’s Tables,” with the objective of further introducing Pakistani basmati rice in the European market, strengthening business-to-business connections, and creating new investment opportunities in the agriculture and food sectors. Speaking on the occasion, Pakistan’s Ambassador to the Netherlands, Syed Haider Shah, said that Pakistani basmati rice is being exported to more than 100 countries worldwide. He noted that its distinctive aroma, long grain, and excellent cooking qualities have made it increasingly popular among global consumers, retailers, and culinary experts. He said Pakistan is committed to ensuring quality, sustainability, traceability, and full compliance with international food safety standards in the agriculture and food products sector. Pakistani basmati, he added, is not merely an agricultural product but a distinctive brand protected through Geographical Indication (GI), representing centuries of agricultural heritage and internationally recognized quality. During the event, participants were offered an opportunity to sample different varieties of premium Pakistani basmati rice, particularly Super Kernel Basmati. Traditional as well as modern dishes prepared with Pakistani basmati rice were also presented. The participants were also given a detailed briefing on the Geographical Indication status of basmati rice, quality assurance mechanisms, traceability systems, and compliance with European market requirements. The event also included discussions on opportunities for enhanced agricultural and food-sector cooperation between Pakistan and the Netherlands. The upcoming Food Exhibition 2026, scheduled to be held in Karachi from November 23 to 26, 2026, was highlighted as Pakistan’s next major trade milestone in the food and agriculture sector. To showcase Pakistan’s wider export potential, a special activity titled “Goal for Pakistan” was also organized, highlighting Pakistan’s achievements in the manufacturing of world-class footballs. The Netherlands is among Pakistan’s most important export markets in the European Union. Bilateral trade between Pakistan and the Netherlands has reached approximately US$1.94 billion, while more than 50 Dutch companies are engaged in business activities across different sectors in Pakistan.

OGDC Poised for Strong Recovery with Baragzai Boost and Sector Reforms
Pakistan

OGDC Poised for Strong Recovery with Baragzai Boost and Sector Reforms

Oil & Gas Development Company Limited (OGDC), Pakistan’s largest E&P player by reserves, is entering a sustained recovery phase. Analysts highlight multiple growth drivers including major discoveries, improved cash flows, and long-term upside from Reko Diq. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/sifc-approves-machike-thallian-tarru-jabba-white-oil-pipeline-to-strengthen-energy-security/ Baragzai Discovery Fuels Production Ramp-Up The Baragzai field, operated by OGDC with 56% working interest, represents the largest oil discovery in Pakistan since 2009. Phase-I is already contributing around 6,000 barrels per day (BPD) of oil and has added 38 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBOE) to reserves. Development of remaining formations under Phase-II is expected to lift output to 25,000 BPD while pushing total reserves potential to 100 MMBOE. This could add up to PKR 32 per share to OGDC’s fair value at full potential. Cash Flows Strengthen Amid Gas Sector Reforms IMF-backed reforms have improved collection rates to nearly 100% on gas sales since FY24, with negligible new trade debt buildup. This supports higher exploration spending and dividend payouts. Legacy circular debt remains a challenge, but ongoing tariff rationalization and subsidy reforms are enhancing liquidity and payout capacity. OGDC maintains the longest reserve life in the sector at around 19 years. Aggressive exploration has driven the highest discovery count in a decade during FY25. Production growth is set to resume after years of decline, backed by new fields offsetting natural depletion in mature assets. A balanced oil and gas revenue mix provides stability. Analysts at Optimus Capital Management reiterate an Outperform rating with a fair value of PKR 406 per share. This implies about 22% upside from the last day’s closing price of around PKR 334. The valuation incorporates present value of free cash flows, cash holdings, 2P reserves, and long-term investments. Overdue trade debts are conservatively realized at 45%. Reko Diq Offers Significant Diversification Upside Rising gold and copper prices have enhanced Reko Diq economics. OGDC’s indirect stake through PMPL could contribute materially to long-term value despite project delays. Offshore block participation further expands the exploration frontier for future growth.

JD Taurus Moves to Acquire 35.06% Stake in Saudi Pak Consultancy Company
Pakistan

JD Taurus Moves to Acquire 35.06% Stake in Saudi Pak Consultancy Company

Saudi Pak Consultancy Company Limited (PSX: SPCL) has announced that JD Taurus (Private) Limited intends to acquire a 35.06 percent stake in the company under the provisions of the Securities Act, 2015, following a direction issued by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP). The proposed acquisition was disclosed through a Public Announcement of Intention (PAI) submitted to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), with Intermarket Securities Limited acting as the manager to the offer. JD Taurus Plans Share Purchase and Public Offer According to the filing, JD Taurus aims to acquire 15,835,403 shares, representing 35.06 percent of SPCL’s issued and paid-up capital, through a share purchase agreement. In addition, the Karachi-based company plans to launch a public offer to acquire another 14,662,549 shares, equivalent to 32.47 percent of the company’s shareholding. The acquisition process is being carried out in accordance with the Securities Act, 2015, and remains subject to regulatory approvals from the SECP. Stake Currently Held by SAPICO The targeted 35.06 percent stake is presently owned by Saudi Pak Industrial & Agricultural Investment Company Limited (SAPICO). Saudi Pak Consultancy Company, formerly known as Saudi Pak Leasing Company Limited, has a total issued share capital of 45,160,500 shares. Trading in the company’s shares has remained suspended on the Pakistan Stock Exchange since March 22, 2022. JD Taurus Incorporated in 2025 JD Taurus (Private) Limited was incorporated on October 28, 2025, and is based in Karachi. The company is led by Chief Executive and Director Mamoon Ur Rashid Qureishi. The other directors are Muhammad Yaqoob and Zahid Hussain. According to the disclosure, Mamoon Ur Rashid Qureishi and Muhammad Yaqoob each hold a 40 percent stake in JD Taurus, while Zahid Hussain owns the remaining 20 percent. SPCL Financial Performance Shows Improvement Despite the suspension of its shares, Saudi Pak Consultancy Company has recorded a notable financial recovery in recent years. The company’s revenue increased significantly to Rs146 million in 2025, compared with only Rs9 million in 2020. Meanwhile, SPCL reported a profit after tax of Rs44 million in 2025, reversing a loss of Rs53 million recorded five years earlier. Earnings per share stood at Rs0.98 during 2025. Negative Net Worth Persists Although profitability has improved, the company continues to face financial challenges. SPCL reported a negative net worth of Rs399 million, while its total assets amounted to Rs686 million. The company’s financial position indicates that despite the turnaround in earnings, balance sheet pressures remain. Deal Subject to Regulatory Approvals The Public Announcement of Intention remains subject to approvals from the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan. The disclosure noted that the proposed transaction could be withdrawn if the required regulatory clearances are not obtained. If completed, the acquisition would mark a significant ownership change for Saudi Pak Consultancy Company and could pave the way for renewed strategic direction for the company.

CCP Approves Acquisition of BASF Pakistan by Kemyion Chemical Solutions Trading FZCO
Pakistan

CCP Approves Acquisition of BASF Pakistan by Kemyion Chemical Solutions Trading FZCO

ISLAMABAD, JUNE 23, 2026: The Competition Commission of Pakistan (CCP) has approved the proposed acquisition of the entire shareholding of BASF Pakistan (Private) Limited by the UAE-based Kemyion Chemical Solutions Trading FZCO following a Phase-I review conducted under the Competition Act, 2010. Kemyion Chemical Solutions Trading FZCO submitted a pre-merger application to the Commission under Section 11 of the Competition Act, 2010, seeking approval to acquire 100 percent shareholding of BASF Pakistan (Private) Limited from BASF SE, Germany, pursuant to a Share Purchase Agreement dated November 18, 2025. Following a competition assessment, the Commission authorized the transaction under Section 31(1)(d)(i) of the Act. Kemyion Chemical Solutions Trading FZCO is a UAE-based company authorized to trade in acids, alkalis, basic industrial chemicals, construction chemicals, insecticides, petrochemicals, and plastic and nylon raw materials. BASF Pakistan (Private) Limited is engaged in the indenting and merchandising of a wide range of chemical products, including colorants, catalysts, solvents, oxo alcohols, and process chemicals. The seller, BASF SE, is a German multinational chemical company and the parent entity of the BASF Group. During its review, the Commission assessed the likely impact of the transaction on competition in the relevant market. The relevant product market was identified as the trade of chemicals, including specialty and industrial chemicals, while the relevant geographic market was determined to be Pakistan. The Commission observed that the acquiring company is not currently operational in Pakistan and does not generate any revenue or own any assets in the country. Consequently, the transaction would not result in any material change in market concentration. The assessment further found that the combined market share of the merger parties would remain unchanged and insignificant following completion of the transaction. The Commission concluded that the proposed acquisition would neither create barriers to entry nor significantly enhance the market power of the merger parties. It further found no basis to conclude that the transaction would substantially lessen competition or create or strengthen a dominant position in the relevant market.Accordingly, the Commission authorized the transaction under the Competition Act, 2010. The approval reflects CCP’s continued commitment to facilitating investment and efficient market transactions through timely merger reviews while ensuring that competition, market efficiency, and consumer welfare remain protected.

OICCI Engages German Embassy on Ease of Doing Business and FDI Boost
Pakistan

OICCI Engages German Embassy on Ease of Doing Business and FDI Boost

Senior representatives from OICCI and German Embassy officials held productive talks on June 23, 2026. The focus remained firmly on boosting foreign investment flows into Pakistan. Diplomatic Engagement at OICCI Headquarters Arno Kirchhof led the German side during the courtesy visit. He was received by OICCI’s top leadership team. Discussions opened with an overview of the chamber’s activities. M. Abdul Aleem presented key initiatives underway. Addressing Bottlenecks for Better Business Regulatory hurdles came under close scrutiny. Operational challenges were also examined thoroughly. Participants stressed the need for swift reforms. These steps would improve ease of doing business significantly. Workforce Potential and Skills Gap Pakistan’s youthful demographic offers huge advantages. However, industry-ready skills require urgent attention. Arno Kirchhof highlighted this as a key area for collaboration. Targeted training programs could unlock greater productivity. Positive Outlook on Market Prospects The Deputy Head of Mission expressed optimism about Pakistan’s future. He described it as a market with strong long-term potential. Recent macroeconomic improvements were welcomed. The conversation now needs to shift toward growth-oriented policies. Private Sector Voices Amplified Executives from DHL and Siemens Energy shared practical insights. They represented diverse foreign investor perspectives. Their input underscored the value of public-private dialogue. Such exchanges help resolve ground-level issues effectively. Path Forward for Enhanced FDI Both parties agreed on maintaining a supportive ecosystem. Investor confidence depends on consistent policy signals. OICCI reiterated its commitment to facilitation. German businesses showed continued interest in Pakistan. This high-level interaction signals deepening economic relations. It opens doors for technology transfer and joint ventures. Sectors such as logistics, renewable energy, and manufacturing stand to gain. Stakeholders expect follow-up actions in coming months. Pakistan’s investment story continues to attract global attention. Engagements like this reinforce its emergence as a promising destination.

FPCCI Standing Committee on Renewable Energy Expresses Concern Over Curtailment of Wind Power Plants
Pakistan

FPCCI Standing Committee on Renewable Energy Expresses Concern Over Curtailment of Wind Power Plants

Karachi: Atif Ikram Sheikh, President of the Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI), has apprised that Federation’s Central Standing Committee on Renewable Energy, chaired by Convener Mr. Fawad Jawed, has expressed its grave concern over the intensifying curtailment of wind power plants. Mr. Atif Ikram Sheikh stressed that this grid infrastructural failure is inflicting billions in revenue losses, driving green energy investors toward bankruptcy, and forcing inflation-weary consumers to bear the brunt of expensive imported fuel. FPCCI Chief elaborated that, despite definitive sovereign guarantees that transmission bottlenecks in the Gharo-Jhimpir corridors would be removed, the National Grid Company (NGC) and the Independent System & Market Operator (ISMO) have repeatedly failed to upgrade evacuation infrastructure. Consequently, the national grid is suppressing Pakistan’s cheapest and cleanest source of electricity – available at a mere Rs. 14 per unit – while the country endures debilitating load shedding and bleeds scarce foreign exchange on costly imported RLNG and coal. Mr. Atif Ikram Sheikh said that FPCCI’s Central Standing Committee on Renewable Energy has highlighted a shocking tariff irony: under NEPRA determinations, wind energy generated beyond benchmark capacity drops to an unprecedented under Rs. 1 per kWh. Yet, the system operator chooses to reject this virtually free local power, prioritizing multi-billion dollar thermal imports instead. Furthermore, the Non-Project Missed Volume (NPMV) mechanism recovers only 38% of losses despite 100% plant readiness, creating a recipe for financial liquidation. FPCCI warns that launching the Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM) and wheeling auctions over a congested – failing network will further destabilize the grid. The FPCCI urgently demands that the Prime Minister’s Office, Ministry of Energy, and NEPRA intervene to enforce ‘Must-Run’ Status, Ensure Accountability, Redirect Power to grid and Reform NPMV.

National Exporters Training Program (NETP) Focusing On Agriculture/Horticulture (Olives, Almonds, And Vegetables) And Livestock Holding
Pakistan

National Exporters Training Program (NETP) Focusing On Agriculture/Horticulture (Olives, Almonds, And Vegetables) And Livestock Holding

Quetta, June 23, 2026 The Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP), Quetta, organized a seminar under the National Exporters Training Program (NETP) focusing on agriculture/horticulture (olives, almonds, and vegetables) and Livestock Holding. The event brought together exporters, farmers, academia, government departments, development organizations, and researchers to highlight the export potential of Balochistan’s agriculture, horticulture, and livestock sectors. The seminar commenced with a welcome address by Mr. Noor Ali Achakzai, Director TDAP Quetta, who emphasized TDAP’s role in export promotion and the significance of NETP. Mr. Taj Muhammad Barech, Senior Vice President, Quetta Chamber of Small Traders and Small Industry, highlighted the province’s agricultural and livestock potential. Mr. Muhammad Abbas Khan, Assistant Manager PHDEC Quetta, presented an overview of horticulture export potential and key value chain challenges and export non-compliances and way forward. A comprehensive session on National Exporters Training Programme, four modules, were delivered by Muhammad Idrees, Assistant Director, Focal person for NETP and Mr. Muhammad Sharif, Executive Officer TDAP Quetta, covering export procedures, documentation, financing, payment terms, and marketing strategies. Mr. Rizwan, Deputy Manager, Pakistan Single Window (PSW) also participated in the session, and delivered a comprehensive presentation on the role of PSW in making the export processes and procedures seamless and efficient for exporters. During the interactive session, participants identified key challenges including lack of slaughterhouses, inadequate cold chain infrastructure, absence of corporate farming, and gaps in real-time agricultural data. Strong export demand for apples, chillies and other horticultural products from Balochistan was also noted. The session recommended establishment of olive processing plants (up to 2000 kg/hr capacity), formation of a multi-stakeholder working committee, and organization of national and international exhibitions to promote exports. The seminar concluded with remarks by Mr. Attaullah Mengal, Vice President, Quetta Chamber of Small Traders and Small Industry. Active participation from all stakeholders was observed, and it was agreed that coordinated efforts are essential to strengthen Balochistan’s export potential.

Finance Bill 2026-27 Grants FBR Sweeping Powers to Target Tax Evaders
Pakistan

Finance Bill 2026-27 Grants FBR Sweeping Powers to Target Tax Evaders

Pakistan’s parliament has approved the Finance Bill 2026-27, introducing major changes to the country’s tax framework and granting the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) new powers to identify, monitor, and penalize tax evaders. The legislation, presented by Finance and Revenue Minister Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb, will come into force from July 1, 2026. The bill introduces amendments to the Income Tax Ordinance, Sales Tax Act, Federal Excise Act, and Customs Act. It also brings in digital mechanisms, tighter penalties, and enhanced oversight of banking transactions. Algorithmic System to Settle Tax Disputes One of the most significant features of the Finance Bill 2026-27 is the introduction of an Algorithmic Settlement Mechanism. Under this system, registered taxpayers will receive settlement offers generated through digital calculations before the issuance of a formal assessment or audit order. The settlement amount will depend on factors such as the stage of proceedings, the taxpayer’s compliance history, and the nature of discrepancies identified by the FBR. Taxpayers accepting the offer will have 10 days to confirm it through the IRIS portal and deposit the calculated amount along with a revised return. Once accepted, all audit notices relating to the settled issues will automatically stand withdrawn, although proceedings concerning other tax years or unrelated issues may continue. Similar provisions are also being incorporated into the Sales Tax Act and Federal Excise Act. National Faceless Centre Gets More Powers The Finance Bill also strengthens the National Faceless Centre, where Inland Revenue officers will conduct assessments and audits without revealing their identities. The identities, voices, and facial appearances of tax officers participating in electronic hearings will remain confidential. The legislation states that taxpayers will not be able to challenge notices or assessments solely because the officer lacked traditional jurisdiction or because their identity remained undisclosed. Cases will be allocated through algorithms, while separate officers will perform audit, assessment, and quality control functions. The government says the system aims to improve transparency and reduce opportunities for undue influence. Banks and Digital Institutions Face New Reporting Requirements A new Section 165AB requires banks and electronic money institutions to submit information on account holders whose deposits or withdrawals exceed Rs100 million during any six-month period. The data will be uploaded to a Central Data Hub managed through Pakistan Revenue Automation Limited (PRAL), the FBR’s technology arm. Information such as account balances, total credits, and peak credits will be matched with tax declarations through automated systems. According to the bill, tax officials will not have direct access to the data during the cross-matching process. Only major discrepancies will be flagged to the Compliance Risk Management system for further action by the National Faceless Centre. The legislation promises confidentiality and states that the mechanism does not override existing protections under banking laws. Life Insurance Proceeds Brought Under Tax Net For the first time, proceeds from life insurance policies and family takaful certificates will become taxable under a new Section 7G. Only the investment return portion of the payout will be taxed after deducting the total premiums paid by the policyholder. Payouts received within one year of issuance will face a 15 percent tax. The rate will fall to 10 percent for policies held between one and four years. However, payouts after four years and those resulting from death or disability will remain exempt. The move is expected to affect the life insurance industry’s traditional tax advantages. Income Tax Slabs Revised The Finance Bill revises income tax rates for individuals while maintaining the tax-free threshold at Rs600,000. Under the new structure, the highest tax rate of 35 percent will apply to annual taxable income exceeding Rs7 million. Intermediate tax rates of 20 percent, 25 percent, 29 percent, and 32 percent will apply to different income brackets ranging from Rs2.2 million to Rs7 million. The bill also narrows the super tax regime. Banks and oil and gas companies will pay a 10 percent super tax on income exceeding Rs150 million, while other entities will face an 8 percent rate on income above Rs500 million. The surcharge previously imposed on individuals earning more than Rs10 million has been abolished. Social Media Influencers and EVs Included The government has introduced a 5 percent withholding tax on income earned by digital content creators and social media influencers through banking channels. The measure covers earnings from platforms such as YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, and TikTok. For resident taxpayers, the levy will be treated as a minimum tax, while it will be final tax for non-residents. Meanwhile, imported electric vehicles valued up to $75,000 will remain exempt from excise duty. Vehicles worth between $75,000 and $110,000 will attract a 30 percent duty, while those above $110,000 will face a 40 percent rate. Imported vehicles with engine capacities between 2,000cc and 3,000cc will be subject to an 86 percent special excise duty. Vehicles above 3,000cc will face a 92 percent rate. Penalties and Litigation Rules Tightened The Finance Bill 2026-27 also imposes tougher penalties for late filing, fake invoices, and failure to integrate with FBR systems. Businesses issuing fictitious invoices will face penalties equal to the invoice value and may be placed on a public register. The bill further establishes Independent Case Scrutiny Committees to review appeals filed by revenue authorities before higher courts. The committees, headed by retired judges, will determine whether FBR cases should proceed to the High Courts, the Federal Constitutional Court, or the Supreme Court. Officials believe the measure will reduce unnecessary litigation and ease the burden on Pakistan’s superior courts. With sweeping digital reforms and stronger enforcement powers, the Finance Bill 2026-27 represents one of the most extensive overhauls of Pakistan’s tax framework in recent years.

SBP Releases FY27 MPC Meeting Calendar, Expands Monetary Policy Communication
Pakistan

SBP Releases FY27 MPC Meeting Calendar, Expands Monetary Policy Communication

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has released the advance calendar for Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings for fiscal year 2026-27 and announced several measures aimed at enhancing transparency and improving communication related to monetary policy decisions. The initiatives form part of the central bank’s broader efforts under its Vision 2028 strategic plan, which seeks to strengthen the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission, anchor inflation expectations, and facilitate the eventual adoption of an inflation-targeting framework. SBP Increases Post-MPC Press Conferences As part of the new communication strategy, the SBP has increased the number of post-MPC press conferences from two to four annually. According to the central bank, SBP Governor will address the media following MPC meetings scheduled for July, October, January, and April. The move aims to provide greater clarity regarding monetary policy decisions and the economic outlook. Analyst Briefing Presentations to Become Public The central bank has also decided to publish the presentations prepared by its staff for post-MPC analyst briefings. These presentations will be uploaded to the SBP’s official website one day after each MPC meeting. The decision is intended to improve transparency regarding the committee’s reaction function and boost stakeholders’ confidence in the central bank’s data-driven policy formulation process. MPC Meeting Minutes to Be Published Earlier In another key development, the SBP announced that minutes of Monetary Policy Committee meetings will now be released by the end of the fourth week following each meeting. The streamlined process is expected to provide financial markets and analysts with a more timely understanding of the discussions and considerations behind monetary policy decisions. Eight MPC Meetings Scheduled for FY27 According to the advance calendar, the Monetary Policy Committee will hold eight meetings during FY27. The meetings are scheduled for: July 27, 2026September 14, 2026October 26, 2026December 14, 2026January 25, 2027March 8, 2027April 26, 2027June 17, 2027 The central bank noted that any unforeseen event affecting the announced dates would be communicated separately. Monetary Policy Reports Scheduled Twice SBP will also issue two Monetary Policy Reports during FY27. The first report is scheduled for August 10, 2026, following the July meeting, while the second will be released on February 8, 2027, after the January MPC meeting. Meanwhile, analyst briefing slide decks will be published one day after each meeting, while the corresponding MPC minutes will be released during the fourth week after every session. Vision 2028 Driving Reforms According to the SBP, the continuous improvement in monetary policy-related communication is guided by its Strategic Plan—Vision 2028. The plan aims to strengthen monetary policy transmission mechanisms, anchor inflation expectations, and support the formal adoption of an inflation-targeting regime in Pakistan. The latest measures are expected to enhance predictability and provide investors, businesses, economists, and market participants with greater insight into the central bank’s decision-making process.

Pakistan Monetary Policy Under Pressure as ICMA Warns Inflation Threat Is Growing
Pakistan

Pakistan Monetary Policy Under Pressure as ICMA Warns Inflation Threat Is Growing

Pakistan Monetary Policy has entered a critical phase after the Institute of Cost and Management Accountants of Pakistan (ICMA) warned that inflation, liquidity pressures and geopolitical uncertainty are undermining the effectiveness of interest rate decisions. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/national-bank-of-pakistan-strengthens-commitment-to-environmental-sustainability-through-tree-plantation-drive-at-clifton-urban-forest/ In its 24th Monetary Policy Statement Review, released after the State Bank of Pakistan’s Monetary Policy Committee decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 11.5 percent on June 15, 2026, ICMA said the country’s monetary transmission mechanism is under severe stress. According to the institute, rising prices, exchange-rate volatility and uncertainty caused by the Middle East conflict are creating fresh risks for the economy. The report warns that conventional monetary tools are losing their effectiveness as large segments of economic activity remain outside the formal banking system. Pakistan Monetary Policy Transmission Is Losing Strength ICMA’s analysis revealed that the impact of previous interest rate measures has weakened considerably since March 2025. Through its Monetary Policy Effectiveness Gap framework, the institute found that inflationary and liquidity pressures are overpowering earlier policy actions. April and May 2026 recorded deeply negative effectiveness readings of minus 16.4 and minus 19.8 percentage points respectively. These figures indicate that inflationary forces are spreading faster than monetary tightening can contain them. Headline inflation surged to 10.9 percent in April and climbed further to 11.7 percent in May. Core inflation also moved higher, suggesting that rising energy costs and supply-side disruptions are feeding into broader price increases. Why Cutting Interest Rates Could Backfire ICMA cautioned that reducing interest rates at this stage could further fuel inflation. The institute believes maintaining the current rate is the safest short-term option available to policymakers. However, it emphasized that monetary policy alone cannot stabilize Pakistan’s economy. Structural reforms are urgently needed to restore confidence and improve the effectiveness of future policy actions. The institute called for stronger fiscal discipline, expansion of the tax net, reforms in the energy sector and wider financial inclusion to strengthen the country’s economic foundations. Positive Economic Indicators Offer Some Relief Despite the warning signs, several economic indicators showed improvement. Pakistan’s provisional GDP growth for fiscal year 2026 was estimated at 3.7 percent. State Bank foreign exchange reserves increased to 17.2 billion dollars by June 5 and are expected to reach 18 billion dollars by the end of June. Meanwhile, the government achieved a primary budget surplus of 2.5 percent of GDP during FY26, exceeding expectations. Authorities are targeting a primary surplus of 2 percent in FY27. These gains provide some breathing space, but economists believe inflation remains the biggest challenge facing the economy. ICMA Issues Key Recommendations for Pakistan Monetary Policy ICMA urged policymakers to maintain a cautious approach and allow previous monetary measures sufficient time to produce results. The institute also stressed the importance of monitoring liquidity during high-cash periods such as Eid and Muharram, when demand for currency rises sharply. Better coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities was recommended to curb excess liquidity. ICMA also called for targeted interventions in the energy, transport and production sectors to address supply-side inflation. Additionally, the institute proposed making the Monetary Policy Effectiveness Gap framework a permanent monthly monitoring tool to assess how effectively policy decisions are transmitted through the economy. Pakistan Needs Deeper Reforms to Avoid Bigger Risks ICMA concluded that Pakistan’s monetary system continues to function, but growing inflation and liquidity pressures are weakening its ability to influence economic activity. The current interest rate policy, the institute said, should be viewed as a temporary holding strategy rather than a long-term solution. Without reforms in fiscal management, energy pricing and financial inclusion, Pakistan Monetary Policy may struggle to deliver lasting economic stability, raising concerns that inflationary pressures could become even harder to control in the months ahead.

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