Pakistan Manufacturing PMI December Shows Strong Momentum in Industrial Growth
Pakistan Manufacturing PMI December delivered a positive signal for the country’s industrial outlook, as manufacturing activity accelerated to its strongest level since February. According to the latest data released by S&P Global, the HBL Pakistan Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) climbed to 52.8 in December, up from 52.3 in November, indicating expanding business conditions across the sector. A PMI reading above 50 reflects expansion, and December’s improvement underscores growing confidence in Pakistan’s manufacturing economy amid stabilizing inflation and improving demand dynamics. Read More: https://theboardroompk.com/pakistan-textile-council-calls-for-export-emergency-amid-sharp-decline-in-shipments/ Pakistan Manufacturing PMI December Driven by Production and New Orders The rise in Pakistan Manufacturing PMI December was primarily supported by robust growth in production and a sharp acceleration in new orders. Manufacturers reported the fastest increase in new business since March, signaling a rebound in domestic demand and improving market conditions. Production levels increased as firms responded to stronger order books, reflecting improved capacity utilization without triggering excessive operational pressure. This balance suggests that manufacturers are expanding output efficiently while maintaining control over costs and delivery timelines. Export Orders Turn Positive After Six Months A notable highlight of the Pakistan Manufacturing PMI December report was the return to growth in new export orders, which expanded for the first time in six months. This turnaround was attributed to: • Stronger international demand• Improved product quality and compliance with global standards• Better competitiveness in selected export-oriented industries The revival in export orders provides an encouraging signal for Pakistan’s external sector, particularly as manufacturers seek to capitalize on recovering global supply chains. Employment Rises as Workloads Increase Employment in the manufacturing sector increased for the second consecutive month, aligning with higher production needs and expectations of continued demand growth. Firms reported: • Longer working hours• Increased staffing to manage rising workloads• Forward-looking hiring decisions based on anticipated order inflows This improvement in employment reflects growing business confidence and supports broader economic recovery through job creation. Input Purchases and Inventories Surge Manufacturers significantly increased input purchases during December, largely as a precautionary measure against potential price increases. As a result, inventories rose at the fastest pace since the PMI survey began, highlighting proactive supply chain management. Despite higher output and stock accumulation, capacity pressures remained subdued, with work backlogs declining at one of the fastest rates on record. This indicates that firms are effectively managing demand without operational strain. Business Confidence at Multi-Month High Commenting on the data, Humaira Qamar, Head of Equities & Research at HBL, noted that business confidence reached its highest level since July. Optimism was driven by expectations of: • Improved macroeconomic conditions• Manageable inflation levels• A supportive monetary policy environment She also highlighted the State Bank of Pakistan’s surprise 50 basis point policy rate cut, which reinforced market confidence. The central bank signaled expectations of inflation averaging within the 5–7% target range and progress toward achieving its June 2026 foreign exchange reserve goals. Why Pakistan Manufacturing PMI December Matters The Pakistan Manufacturing PMI December serves as a leading indicator of economic momentum. Based on monthly surveys of private-sector firms, the PMI tracks changes iin • Output levels• New domestic and export orders• Employment trends• Input purchases and inventories Sustained expansion in PMI readings often signals upcoming growth in industrial output, investment, and employment making it a critical barometer for policymakers, investors, and business leaders. Outlook: Manufacturing Sector Enters 2026 on Strong Footing With rising production, renewed export growth, improving employment, and supportive monetary conditions, Pakistan’s manufacturing sector enters the new year with cautious optimism. If demand conditions remain stable and inflation stays under control, the sector could play a pivotal role in strengthening Pakistan’s overall economic recovery in 2026.









